TY - JOUR
T1 - Generic approach for mathematical model of multi-strain pandemics
AU - Lazebnik, Teddy
AU - Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky, Svetlana
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 Lazebnik, Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited
PY - 2022/4
Y1 - 2022/4
N2 - Multi-strain pandemics have emerged as a major concern. We introduce a new model for assessing the connection between multi-strain pandemics and mortality rate, basic reproduction number, and maximum infected individuals. The proposed model provides a general mathematical approach for representing multi-strain pandemics, generalizing for an arbitrary number of strains. We show that the proposed model fits well with epidemiological historical world health data over a long time period. From a theoretical point of view, we show that the increasing number of strains increases logarithmically the maximum number of infected individuals and the mean mortality rate. Moreover, the mean basic reproduction number is statistically identical to the single, most aggressive pandemic strain for multi-strain pandemics.
AB - Multi-strain pandemics have emerged as a major concern. We introduce a new model for assessing the connection between multi-strain pandemics and mortality rate, basic reproduction number, and maximum infected individuals. The proposed model provides a general mathematical approach for representing multi-strain pandemics, generalizing for an arbitrary number of strains. We show that the proposed model fits well with epidemiological historical world health data over a long time period. From a theoretical point of view, we show that the increasing number of strains increases logarithmically the maximum number of infected individuals and the mean mortality rate. Moreover, the mean basic reproduction number is statistically identical to the single, most aggressive pandemic strain for multi-strain pandemics.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85129561319&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1371/journal.pone.0260683
DO - 10.1371/journal.pone.0260683
M3 - ???researchoutput.researchoutputtypes.contributiontojournal.article???
C2 - 35482761
AN - SCOPUS:85129561319
SN - 1932-6203
VL - 17
JO - PLoS ONE
JF - PLoS ONE
IS - 4 April
M1 - e0260683
ER -